Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.000549 0.000634 0.000725 0.000829 0.000944 0.001068 0.001209
2025-06-22 0.000414 0.000530 0.000663 0.000826 0.001018 0.001235 0.001499
2025-06-29 0.000339 0.000466 0.000619 0.000815 0.001056 0.001339 0.001693
2025-07-06 0.000280 0.000411 0.000577 0.000798 0.001080 0.001422 0.001862
2025-07-13 0.000248 0.000386 0.000567 0.000817 0.001144 0.001550 0.002085
2025-07-20 0.000220 0.000362 0.000555 0.000829 0.001198 0.001666 0.002293
2025-07-27 0.000190 0.000330 0.000529 0.000820 0.001221 0.001741 0.002451
2025-08-03 0.000163 0.000300 0.000502 0.000805 0.001234 0.001800 0.002588
2025-08-10 0.000147 0.000284 0.000493 0.000814 0.001279 0.001903 0.002782
2025-08-17 0.000131 0.000266 0.000479 0.000815 0.001310 0.001987 0.002954
2025-08-24 0.000111 0.000239 0.000448 0.000789 0.001302 0.002015 0.003047
2025-08-31 0.000094 0.000216 0.000421 0.000765 0.001293 0.002041 0.003140
2025-09-07 0.000083 0.000201 0.000408 0.000762 0.001318 0.002116 0.003301
2025-09-14 0.000074 0.000188 0.000396 0.000761 0.001343 0.002191 0.003466
2025-09-21 0.000064 0.000174 0.000379 0.000750 0.001354 0.002245 0.003600
2025-09-28 0.000055 0.000158 0.000361 0.000735 0.001355 0.002284 0.003715
2025-10-05 0.000051 0.000154 0.000361 0.000752 0.001408 0.002402 0.003944
2025-10-12 0.000047 0.000149 0.000359 0.000763 0.001452 0.002506 0.004155
2025-10-19 0.000041 0.000138 0.000346 0.000755 0.001463 0.002561 0.004294
2025-10-26 0.000035 0.000127 0.000330 0.000741 0.001464 0.002599 0.004408
2025-11-02 0.000032 0.000122 0.000328 0.000750 0.001503 0.002697 0.004614
2025-11-09 0.000029 0.000116 0.000321 0.000750 0.001529 0.002774 0.004788
2025-11-16 0.000024 0.000104 0.000301 0.000726 0.001509 0.002778 0.004854